Excelsior Maassluis vs Emmen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.7%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.4%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
56.7%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.3%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior Maassluis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
HOE
2 - 3
EXC
45%
25%
30%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
EXC
2 - 4
KOZ
31%
24%
45%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
CAP
3 - 1
EXC
50%
24%
26%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
EXC
0 - 4
SPA
53%
22%
25%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2014 |
LIE
0 - 1
EXC
38%
24%
37%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Emmen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
NEC
4 - 0
FCE
66%
20%
14%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2014 |
FCE
2 - 2
HEL
40%
25%
35%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2014 |
VVV
1 - 4
FCE
61%
21%
19%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2014 |
FCE
2 - 2
BOS
32%
25%
43%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2014 |
FCE
5 - 0
PSV
39%
27%
34%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +2 |