Excelsior Maassluis vs ASWH analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.1%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
25.8%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+81%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior Maassluis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
EXC
1 - 0
NIE
75%
15%
10%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
ACH
0 - 3
EXC
33%
23%
44%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
EXC
0 - 3
HOE
58%
22%
20%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
LRC
0 - 3
EXC
25%
24%
52%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
EXC
2 - 0
NOO
26%
25%
49%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
ASWH
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
ASW
4 - 4
KOZ
49%
23%
28%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
ASW
3 - 3
ZWA
61%
21%
18%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
NIE
2 - 2
ASW
20%
21%
60%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
ASW
5 - 2
ACH
69%
18%
13%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
HOE
0 - 1
ASW
40%
25%
35%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |