Excelsior Kaart vs Ternesse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.8%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
6%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.4%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
41.1%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior Kaart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
KAA
2 - 0
WUU
37%
23%
40%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
GRK
2 - 1
KAA
64%
19%
17%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
RLE
4 - 1
KAA
29%
23%
48%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | -2 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
KAA
1 - 2
NIL
41%
23%
36%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
LIL
1 - 0
KAA
67%
18%
15%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Ternesse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
REB
0 - 2
TER
30%
23%
47%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
TER
1 - 2
ANT
65%
18%
17%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
TER
1 - 1
WUU
55%
21%
24%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
GRK
2 - 1
TER
50%
22%
28%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
TER
3 - 2
MAR
60%
20%
20%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |