Excelsior Kaart vs KVV Duffel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.3%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.8%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.5%
9.3%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior Kaart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
KAA
0 - 3
MAR
23%
22%
55%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
HOU
0 - 0
KAA
76%
14%
9%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
KAA
1 - 1
GRK
16%
19%
65%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | +2 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
ANT
2 - 2
KAA
67%
18%
15%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
KAA
2 - 3
WIT
53%
23%
25%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
KVV Duffel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
DUF
1 - 1
BED
10%
16%
74%
|
13 | 33 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
DUF
0 - 4
VCH
15%
19%
67%
|
14 | 26 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
DUF
0 - 2
HOU
9%
16%
75%
|
15 | 38 | 23 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
GRK
4 - 3
DUF
87%
9%
4%
|
15 | 38 | 23 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
DUF
0 - 0
ANT
12%
17%
71%
|
14 | 31 | 17 | +1 |