Provincial Belgium Semi-finals
Global 2-2
Excelsior Kaart vs KFC Nijlen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.1%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
45.5%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior Kaart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2015 |
NIL
1 - 0
KAA
66%
18%
16%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
SIN
0 - 1
KAA
39%
23%
38%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
KAA
1 - 1
TER
36%
23%
41%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
KAA
2 - 0
WUU
37%
23%
40%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | +2 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
GRK
2 - 1
KAA
64%
19%
17%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
KFC Nijlen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2015 |
NIL
1 - 0
KAA
66%
18%
16%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
NIL
5 - 3
ANT
59%
20%
21%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
FCT
1 - 1
NIL
43%
23%
34%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
BER
0 - 2
NIL
26%
23%
52%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
NIL
5 - 0
HOU
44%
23%
33%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +2 |