AS Excelsior vs La Capricorne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.8%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
46.8%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AS Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
TBF
1 - 2
EXC
77%
14%
9%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
PUE
4 - 1
EXC
70%
16%
14%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
ASJ
2 - 2
EXC
26%
20%
54%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
EXC
2 - 10
CEN
34%
22%
45%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | -2 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
PUN
4 - 1
EXC
72%
15%
13%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
La Capricorne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
CAP
1 - 3
JEA
40%
28%
33%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
JEA
1 - 1
CAP
44%
25%
31%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
CAP
0 - 0
LOU
42%
27%
32%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
PAU
1 - 1
CAP
42%
25%
33%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
CAP
1 - 0
FCP
66%
20%
14%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | 0 |