AS Excelsior vs La Capricorne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.2%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
28%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AS Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
VEN
7 - 2
EXC
63%
19%
18%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
FCP
0 - 3
EXC
51%
22%
28%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
DRA
5 - 1
EXC
76%
14%
10%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | +2 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
EXC
4 - 0
LOU
49%
22%
29%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
SAR
0 - 3
EXC
72%
16%
12%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
La Capricorne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
CAP
1 - 0
PIE
30%
25%
44%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
MAR
3 - 2
CAP
54%
23%
23%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
CAP
0 - 1
JEA
37%
27%
36%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
CAP
0 - 0
MAR
34%
26%
40%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
TAM
2 - 0
CAP
50%
23%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |