AS Excelsior vs La Capricorne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.6%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
28.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AS Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2018 |
EXC
3 - 0
SAI
51%
24%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
PAU
0 - 3
EXC
55%
22%
23%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
EXC
3 - 0
ASS
49%
22%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2018 |
SDF
1 - 2
EXC
47%
25%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2018 |
EXC
1 - 1
PIE
49%
24%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
La Capricorne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2018 |
CAP
1 - 0
MAR
42%
26%
32%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
SAI
1 - 0
CAP
44%
25%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
CAP
1 - 0
SDF
41%
26%
34%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2018 |
PIE
2 - 0
CAP
48%
24%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2018 |
CAP
0 - 0
PET
44%
25%
31%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |