AS Excelsior vs La Capricorne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
35.5%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AS Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
PIE
2 - 1
EXC
50%
25%
25%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
LIL
4 - 1
EXC
83%
15%
2%
|
30 | 82 | 52 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
PET
3 - 0
EXC
47%
25%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -2 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
EXC
1 - 1
FCM
27%
25%
48%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
EXC
2 - 0
MAR
45%
26%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
La Capricorne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2017 |
CAP
2 - 2
PIE
45%
24%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
SAI
3 - 1
CAP
41%
23%
36%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
CAP
1 - 1
JEA
43%
24%
33%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
SDE
1 - 1
CAP
42%
23%
35%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
CAP
2 - 2
MAR
42%
24%
34%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |