AS Excelsior vs Marsouins analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.4%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
30.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+165%
-42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AS Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
BEN
0 - 3
EXC
52%
24%
24%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
EXC
1 - 0
PAU
45%
26%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2014 |
PET
2 - 1
EXC
52%
24%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2014 |
SAI
0 - 1
EXC
50%
26%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
MAR
0 - 1
EXC
51%
26%
23%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Marsouins
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
MAR
0 - 0
JEA
47%
24%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
BRA
2 - 1
MAR
49%
23%
28%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2014 |
MAR
0 - 2
MAR
51%
24%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2014 |
MAR
2 - 0
CAP
43%
24%
33%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2014 |
PIE
3 - 0
MAR
47%
25%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |