AS Excelsior vs Saint-Pierroise analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.6%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
58.5%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.8%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+53%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AS Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
MAR
1 - 0
EXC
60%
23%
18%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
EXC
2 - 1
JEA
34%
26%
40%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
SDF
1 - 0
EXC
41%
27%
32%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
EXC
2 - 3
SAI
77%
15%
8%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
TBF
2 - 1
EXC
30%
26%
44%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Saint-Pierroise
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
PIE
2 - 1
ASS
82%
14%
5%
|
52 | 31 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
MAR
2 - 0
PIE
27%
26%
47%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | -2 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
PIE
4 - 0
PAU
83%
13%
4%
|
53 | 30 | 23 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
JEA
1 - 2
PIE
32%
26%
41%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
PIE
3 - 0
SDE
82%
14%
4%
|
53 | 29 | 24 | 0 |