AS Excelsior vs Piton Saint-Leu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.3%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.3%
9.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
-56%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AS Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2025 |
JEA
2 - 1
EXC
38%
25%
37%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
EXC
2 - 2
SDF
54%
20%
26%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
SAR
0 - 1
EXC
38%
23%
40%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
EXC
4 - 0
TBF
67%
18%
15%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
SAI
0 - 0
EXC
38%
24%
38%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Piton Saint-Leu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2025 |
PSL
0 - 2
ESD
63%
20%
18%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
LOU
0 - 0
PSL
50%
25%
24%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
TAM
1 - 1
PSL
67%
19%
14%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
PSL
0 - 1
JEA
30%
26%
44%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
SDF
4 - 0
PSL
65%
20%
15%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | -1 |