AS Excelsior vs Avirons analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.5%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
25.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AS Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2012 |
ASP
0 - 1
EXC
50%
24%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
SAI
2 - 1
EXC
48%
25%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
EXC
1 - 0
SDF
44%
25%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
EXC
1 - 1
PIE
50%
25%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
PAU
2 - 0
EXC
49%
25%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Avirons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2012 |
FCA
2 - 1
PIE
50%
25%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
FCA
0 - 1
MAR
48%
25%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 0
FCA
51%
25%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
FCA
1 - 1
PAU
49%
25%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
JEA
2 - 0
FCA
55%
23%
22%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |