AS Excelsior vs Emulation analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.3%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
29.9%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AS Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
GOO
3 - 0
EXC
52%
22%
25%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
EXC
0 - 2
CLU
48%
25%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
GOL
3 - 1
EXC
55%
23%
21%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
EXC
1 - 0
ESS
47%
25%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
EXC
1 - 0
CAS
48%
23%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Emulation
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
EMU
1 - 2
GOL
44%
25%
31%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
AIG
2 - 0
EMU
49%
23%
29%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
EMU
0 - 0
SAM
35%
24%
42%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
CLU
4 - 0
EMU
61%
19%
20%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
EMU
0 - 3
RCR
40%
25%
36%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |