ASD Excelsior vs Valentino Mazzola analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.7%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
40.6%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+141%
+505%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASD Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
SPO
3 - 1
EXC
65%
19%
16%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
EXC
1 - 1
SAV
28%
24%
48%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
MED
1 - 1
EXC
63%
20%
17%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
PIE
1 - 0
EXC
75%
16%
9%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
EXC
1 - 2
MEL
16%
20%
64%
|
17 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Valentino Mazzola
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
VAL
2 - 1
USO
76%
15%
9%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
MON
0 - 0
VAL
83%
11%
5%
|
17 | 38 | 21 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
VAL
1 - 1
SAV
32%
24%
44%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
VAL
1 - 0
MED
32%
24%
45%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
CAS
4 - 0
VAL
80%
13%
8%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | -1 |