ASD Excelsior vs Usom Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.5%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
24.1%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+141%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASD Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
MON
5 - 0
EXC
86%
10%
4%
|
11 | 38 | 27 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
EXC
3 - 3
MED
24%
23%
53%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
CAS
2 - 2
EXC
85%
10%
4%
|
10 | 25 | 15 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
EXC
0 - 1
LOC
14%
19%
66%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
BOR
1 - 0
EXC
84%
11%
5%
|
10 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Usom Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
PAN
3 - 0
USO
83%
11%
5%
|
10 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
USO
0 - 1
MON
9%
17%
74%
|
10 | 38 | 28 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
MED
1 - 3
USO
83%
12%
6%
|
8 | 17 | 9 | +2 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
USO
0 - 6
CAS
9%
16%
75%
|
9 | 24 | 15 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
LOC
4 - 1
USO
83%
12%
6%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | 0 |