ASD Excelsior vs Sporting Valleambrosia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.2%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
4%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.7%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
69.3%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.9%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.5%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.8%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+141%
-41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASD Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
SAV
2 - 1
EXC
73%
16%
11%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
EXC
0 - 0
PIE
11%
18%
72%
|
11 | 28 | 17 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
MEL
1 - 0
EXC
85%
11%
5%
|
11 | 30 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
EXC
1 - 1
NUO
14%
19%
67%
|
11 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
ROZ
4 - 1
EXC
84%
11%
5%
|
11 | 30 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Valleambrosia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
SPO
3 - 1
USO
86%
10%
4%
|
26 | 9 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
MON
1 - 1
SPO
71%
17%
12%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
SPO
1 - 1
MED
79%
14%
8%
|
26 | 15 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
CAS
1 - 1
SPO
45%
23%
32%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
SPO
1 - 3
LOC
72%
17%
12%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | -1 |