ASD Excelsior vs Savorelli 1937 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
48.1%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+141%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASD Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
MED
1 - 1
EXC
63%
20%
17%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
PIE
1 - 0
EXC
75%
16%
9%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
EXC
1 - 2
MEL
16%
20%
64%
|
17 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
NUO
0 - 0
EXC
64%
20%
17%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
EXC
0 - 0
ROZ
22%
22%
56%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Savorelli 1937
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
VAL
1 - 1
SAV
32%
24%
44%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
SAV
2 - 1
USO
79%
14%
8%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
MON
3 - 1
SAV
80%
13%
7%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
SAV
0 - 1
MED
59%
21%
21%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
CAS
4 - 1
SAV
65%
19%
16%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | -1 |