ASD Excelsior vs Rozzano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.6%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
55.9%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+141%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASD Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
EXC
0 - 1
PAN
33%
24%
43%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
USO
0 - 1
EXC
17%
21%
62%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
EXC
0 - 1
MON
14%
20%
67%
|
17 | 37 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
EXC
3 - 1
CAS
14%
19%
68%
|
14 | 28 | 14 | +3 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
LOC
1 - 2
EXC
70%
17%
13%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Rozzano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
ROZ
0 - 0
USO
83%
12%
5%
|
23 | 10 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
MON
3 - 2
ROZ
74%
16%
11%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
ROZ
1 - 1
MED
66%
19%
15%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
ROZ
0 - 0
LOC
71%
17%
12%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
BOR
2 - 0
ROZ
25%
22%
53%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | -1 |