ASD Excelsior vs Pievese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.9%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.9%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
71.5%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.4%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.2%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.5%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+141%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASD Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
MEL
1 - 0
EXC
85%
11%
5%
|
11 | 30 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
EXC
1 - 1
NUO
14%
19%
67%
|
11 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
ROZ
4 - 1
EXC
84%
11%
5%
|
11 | 30 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
PAN
1 - 0
EXC
82%
12%
6%
|
11 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
EXC
1 - 1
USO
55%
21%
24%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Pievese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
PIE
3 - 1
USO
85%
11%
5%
|
28 | 9 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
MON
0 - 0
PIE
70%
17%
13%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
PIE
1 - 1
MED
82%
12%
6%
|
28 | 13 | 15 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
CAS
2 - 2
PIE
39%
23%
38%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
PIE
1 - 1
LOC
74%
16%
10%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | 0 |