ASD Excelsior vs Pantigliate 1977 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.2%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.9%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
43.2%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+141%
-44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASD Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
USO
0 - 1
EXC
17%
21%
62%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
EXC
0 - 1
MON
14%
20%
67%
|
17 | 37 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
EXC
3 - 1
CAS
14%
19%
68%
|
14 | 28 | 14 | +3 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
LOC
1 - 2
EXC
70%
17%
13%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
EXC
1 - 1
BOR
21%
22%
58%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Pantigliate 1977
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
PAN
1 - 1
VAL
70%
17%
13%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
USO
0 - 0
PAN
11%
17%
72%
|
21 | 9 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
MON
5 - 0
PAN
77%
14%
9%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
PAN
0 - 2
SAV
54%
22%
24%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
MED
3 - 2
PAN
24%
22%
54%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |