ASD Excelsior vs Montanaso Lombardo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.7%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.6%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
66.6%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.4%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+141%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASD Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
EXC
3 - 1
CAS
14%
19%
68%
|
14 | 28 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
LOC
1 - 2
EXC
70%
17%
13%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
EXC
1 - 1
BOR
21%
22%
58%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
CHI
1 - 0
EXC
83%
12%
5%
|
13 | 34 | 21 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
VAL
1 - 1
EXC
39%
23%
38%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Montanaso Lombardo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
MON
5 - 0
PAN
77%
14%
9%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
MED
1 - 1
MON
14%
20%
66%
|
37 | 17 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
MON
1 - 2
CAS
70%
17%
13%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
LOC
0 - 1
MON
15%
20%
65%
|
38 | 19 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
BOR
1 - 2
MON
17%
21%
62%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | +1 |