ASD Excelsior vs Melegnano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.7%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
63.7%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.6%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+141%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASD Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
NUO
0 - 0
EXC
64%
20%
17%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
EXC
0 - 0
ROZ
22%
22%
56%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
EXC
0 - 1
PAN
33%
24%
43%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
USO
0 - 1
EXC
17%
21%
62%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
EXC
0 - 1
MON
14%
20%
67%
|
17 | 37 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Melegnano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
MEL
3 - 0
USO
84%
12%
5%
|
29 | 10 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
MON
1 - 1
MEL
67%
18%
15%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
MEL
1 - 1
MED
74%
16%
10%
|
29 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
CAS
2 - 1
MEL
42%
23%
35%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
MEL
2 - 0
LOC
76%
15%
9%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | 0 |