ASD Excelsior vs Medigliese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.6%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
53.3%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+141%
+87%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASD Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
CAS
2 - 2
EXC
85%
10%
4%
|
10 | 25 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
EXC
0 - 1
LOC
14%
19%
66%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
BOR
1 - 0
EXC
84%
11%
5%
|
10 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
EXC
0 - 1
CHI
9%
17%
74%
|
10 | 30 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Medigliese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
MED
1 - 3
USO
83%
12%
6%
|
17 | 8 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
MON
3 - 0
MED
83%
12%
6%
|
17 | 37 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
PAN
1 - 1
MED
64%
19%
17%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
MED
2 - 1
CAS
15%
20%
65%
|
14 | 25 | 11 | +2 |