ASD Excelsior vs Locate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.9%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
66.3%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
11%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.5%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+141%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASD Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
BOR
1 - 0
EXC
84%
11%
5%
|
10 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
EXC
0 - 1
CHI
9%
17%
74%
|
10 | 30 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Locate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
LOC
4 - 1
USO
83%
12%
6%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
MON
3 - 1
LOC
82%
12%
6%
|
17 | 34 | 17 | +1 |