Excelsior .31 vs VVOG analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.3%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.2%
10.5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior .31
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2022 |
SPO
2 - 2
EXC
44%
24%
32%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
EXC
1 - 0
DOV
66%
19%
15%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
EXC
2 - 0
STA
48%
23%
29%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
DVS
2 - 1
EXC
51%
23%
26%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
EXC
0 - 0
HOE
61%
20%
19%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
VVOG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2022 |
BAR
5 - 1
VVO
70%
18%
13%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
VVO
2 - 1
STA
18%
22%
60%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | +2 |
| 22 Mar. 2022 |
STE
1 - 4
VVO
74%
16%
10%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | +2 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
VVO
0 - 2
DVS
10%
18%
72%
|
35 | 52 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
LIS
4 - 2
VVO
80%
13%
7%
|
36 | 54 | 18 | -1 |