Excelsior .31 vs Susteren analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.9%
Win probability
2.9
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.1%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.4%
3-0
10%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12.6%
7.5%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior .31
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2020 |
TWE
3 - 1
EXC
79%
14%
6%
|
47 | 70 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
EXC
3 - 3
STE
51%
22%
27%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
ODI
3 - 1
EXC
66%
19%
15%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
EXC
1 - 2
DOV
67%
18%
15%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
DVS
0 - 3
EXC
70%
17%
12%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
Susteren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
SUS
1 - 3
VVV
67%
17%
16%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
BSV
1 - 1
SUS
30%
22%
48%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
RKS
1 - 1
SUS
35%
21%
44%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
SUS
2 - 1
VEN
55%
21%
25%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
DEU
0 - 0
SUS
46%
23%
31%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | +1 |