Excelsior .31 vs SteDoCo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.5%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
31%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior .31
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2022 |
HOE
2 - 1
EXC
45%
24%
31%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
EXC
0 - 4
SPA
34%
25%
41%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
HAR
2 - 0
EXC
43%
24%
33%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
TER
2 - 1
EXC
26%
24%
50%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
EXC
3 - 1
DVS
37%
25%
38%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
SteDoCo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2022 |
STE
0 - 0
SPO
40%
26%
35%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
VVS
2 - 0
STE
45%
23%
32%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
STE
2 - 2
BAR
41%
24%
35%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
STA
2 - 0
STE
41%
24%
36%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
STE
0 - 1
LIS
38%
26%
37%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |