Excelsior .31 vs Staphorst analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.9%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
31.2%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior .31
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
DOV
4 - 1
EXC
43%
25%
33%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
SPA
2 - 2
EXC
45%
22%
33%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
EXC
8 - 0
ASV
91%
7%
2%
|
38 | 19 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
GEN
4 - 0
EXC
52%
21%
28%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
EXC
2 - 1
EEM
72%
16%
12%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Staphorst
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
URK
2 - 0
STA
28%
25%
47%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
DOV
1 - 0
STA
33%
26%
41%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | -2 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
STA
4 - 3
SPA
64%
20%
17%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
FLE
0 - 3
STA
22%
22%
56%
|
43 | 28 | 15 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
SDV
1 - 1
STA
16%
20%
65%
|
44 | 26 | 18 | -1 |