Excelsior .31 vs SCM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.5%
Win probability
3.12
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.1%
5-0
6.1%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.2%
4-0
9.8%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.9%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.3%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
9.4%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
9.4%
4.1%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior .31
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2015 |
EXC
4 - 1
STA
69%
18%
13%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
WHC
3 - 2
EXC
12%
18%
70%
|
47 | 25 | 22 | -2 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
EXC
1 - 0
HAR
47%
23%
31%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +2 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
EXC
0 - 2
ACV
66%
19%
16%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | -2 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
DVS
1 - 2
EXC
46%
23%
31%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |