Excelsior .31 vs PKC .83 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.5%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
18.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior .31
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2009 |
EXC
2 - 3
STA
63%
20%
17%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
GEN
1 - 1
EXC
39%
25%
36%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
FLE
2 - 1
EXC
37%
24%
39%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
GOA
2 - 2
EXC
36%
24%
40%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
EXC
1 - 1
BEQ
28%
25%
47%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
PKC .83
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
STA
2 - 3
PKC
58%
21%
21%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
PKC
1 - 4
GOA
47%
24%
29%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
PKC
0 - 2
NUN
37%
24%
39%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | -2 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
BER
1 - 1
PKC
57%
22%
22%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
PKC
1 - 1
HHC
21%
22%
56%
|
32 | 47 | 15 | +1 |