Excelsior .31 vs Lisse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.3%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
30%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior .31
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
GOE
1 - 3
EXC
24%
24%
52%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
EXC
2 - 0
AJA
51%
22%
27%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
VVO
2 - 1
EXC
13%
20%
68%
|
50 | 32 | 18 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
EXC
4 - 1
SPO
64%
20%
16%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
STA
2 - 2
EXC
48%
23%
29%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Lisse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
LIS
0 - 0
BAR
64%
19%
17%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
STA
1 - 3
LIS
45%
24%
31%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
LIS
3 - 1
STE
47%
23%
30%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
DVS
1 - 2
LIS
56%
23%
21%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2021 |
LIS
1 - 2
AFC
30%
23%
48%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |