Excelsior .31 vs IJsselmeervogels analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.5%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
56.3%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior .31
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
LIS
4 - 0
EXC
67%
19%
15%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
EXC
2 - 2
KOZ
26%
22%
52%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
ONS
2 - 1
EXC
58%
21%
21%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
GVV
4 - 2
EXC
70%
17%
13%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
EXC
2 - 4
CAP
39%
24%
37%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
IJsselmeervogels
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
IJS
2 - 1
GVV
45%
23%
32%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
CAP
1 - 0
IJS
32%
25%
43%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
IJS
4 - 3
KAT
64%
19%
17%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
SPA
1 - 1
IJS
58%
21%
22%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
IJS
2 - 4
SCH
71%
18%
11%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | -1 |