Excelsior .31 vs HHC Hardenberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.1%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
35.6%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior .31
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
EXC
2 - 1
IJS
25%
24%
51%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
MON
1 - 1
EXC
26%
24%
49%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
EXC
0 - 5
RIJ
30%
25%
45%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
SVZ
3 - 1
EXC
30%
25%
45%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2011 |
EXC
0 - 5
EXC
24%
23%
53%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
HHC Hardenberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
KAT
3 - 1
HHC
38%
26%
36%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
HHC
2 - 2
GVV
41%
25%
35%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
GEN
1 - 1
HHC
47%
24%
29%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
HHC
3 - 1
CAP
42%
26%
32%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +2 |
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
DET
3 - 2
HHC
50%
23%
27%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |