Excelsior .31 vs HHC Hardenberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.6%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
53.1%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior .31
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
FLE
1 - 2
EXC
60%
22%
18%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2008 |
EXC
1 - 2
PKC
64%
20%
16%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
GOA
1 - 3
EXC
54%
23%
23%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +2 |
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
EXC
1 - 1
ACV
50%
23%
27%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
STA
3 - 0
EXC
55%
22%
23%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
HHC Hardenberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
PKC
1 - 3
HHC
22%
23%
56%
|
49 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
HHC
2 - 3
GEN
67%
19%
15%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2008 |
FLE
3 - 1
HHC
22%
23%
55%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | -2 |
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
HHC
2 - 0
ORA
81%
13%
6%
|
51 | 34 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
HHC
2 - 1
DOS
83%
12%
5%
|
50 | 31 | 19 | +1 |