Excelsior .31 vs Go Ahead analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.9%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
12.6%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior .31
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
PKC
1 - 2
EXC
35%
24%
41%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
EXC
0 - 1
ACV
39%
25%
36%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
GEN
1 - 0
EXC
37%
26%
38%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
EXC
1 - 0
HHC
44%
24%
32%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
BER
0 - 1
EXC
48%
24%
28%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Go Ahead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
GOA
2 - 6
APE
39%
24%
37%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2009 |
FLE
3 - 0
GOA
68%
19%
13%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
HAR
6 - 0
GOA
65%
20%
15%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
GOA
2 - 2
STA
52%
23%
26%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
GOA
4 - 2
NUN
34%
25%
41%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | +2 |