Excelsior .31 vs Go Ahead analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.7%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
14.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior .31
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
FLE
0 - 4
EXC
45%
24%
31%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2006 |
EXC
0 - 1
GAE
25%
22%
53%
|
42 | 57 | 15 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
EXC
2 - 3
ACV
51%
23%
27%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2006 |
EXC
3 - 1
BER
60%
21%
19%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2006 |
ORA
0 - 1
EXC
27%
24%
49%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Go Ahead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
GOA
2 - 1
BER
49%
23%
27%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
ORA
3 - 2
GOA
35%
25%
40%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2006 |
GOA
3 - 4
HHC
39%
24%
37%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2006 |
ONS
2 - 1
GOA
64%
20%
17%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2006 |
GOA
1 - 1
DRA
72%
17%
11%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |