Excelsior .31 vs Genemuiden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.5%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
41.8%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior .31
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
HHC
0 - 2
EXC
48%
25%
28%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
EXC
4 - 2
MON
66%
20%
14%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
IJS
5 - 1
EXC
69%
18%
13%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
EXC
2 - 1
SVZ
63%
21%
16%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
RIJ
1 - 0
EXC
72%
17%
11%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Genemuiden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
GEN
3 - 5
GVV
46%
24%
31%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
KAT
2 - 2
GEN
44%
24%
32%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
GEN
5 - 0
CAP
45%
25%
30%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +2 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
GEN
2 - 0
ARC
76%
15%
9%
|
54 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
HHC
0 - 4
GEN
32%
25%
43%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | +1 |