Excelsior .31 vs Genemuiden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.6%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
30%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior .31
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
ORA
1 - 2
EXC
37%
25%
38%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
EXC
3 - 1
DOS
57%
22%
21%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
MEE
1 - 0
EXC
52%
22%
27%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2007 |
HHC
2 - 2
EXC
70%
18%
13%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2007 |
EXC
0 - 0
ONS
42%
24%
34%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Genemuiden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
GEN
0 - 1
FLE
57%
22%
22%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
PKC
3 - 5
GEN
29%
23%
48%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2007 |
WHC
3 - 1
GEN
45%
24%
31%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | -2 |
| 05 May. 2007 |
GEN
2 - 3
BEQ
36%
25%
40%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
ACV
1 - 0
GEN
47%
23%
30%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | -1 |