Excelsior .31 vs Genemuiden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.8%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
24.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior .31
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2006 |
HAR
0 - 0
EXC
45%
24%
31%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
EXC
2 - 0
GOA
66%
19%
15%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
FLE
0 - 4
EXC
45%
24%
31%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | +2 |
| 19 Sep. 2006 |
EXC
0 - 1
GAE
25%
22%
53%
|
42 | 57 | 15 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
EXC
2 - 3
ACV
51%
23%
27%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Genemuiden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2006 |
GEN
2 - 2
BER
64%
20%
16%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
ORA
1 - 4
GEN
27%
24%
49%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
GEN
1 - 2
HHC
45%
24%
31%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2006 |
GEN
3 - 2
ACA
55%
21%
23%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
ONS
1 - 1
GEN
55%
22%
24%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |