Excelsior .31 vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.3%
1-0
6%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
53.4%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior .31
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
EXC
1 - 0
LIS
52%
23%
25%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
NOO
2 - 0
EXC
46%
25%
29%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
EXC
0 - 0
BAR
45%
25%
30%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2011 |
HAR
1 - 2
EXC
45%
25%
30%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
EXC
4 - 2
ARC
55%
22%
22%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
GRO
2 - 0
EXC
69%
19%
12%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
EXC
2 - 3
UTR
30%
28%
43%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
PSV
6 - 1
EXC
78%
15%
7%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
EXC
1 - 1
GRA
51%
24%
25%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2011 |
NEC
2 - 0
EXC
59%
23%
18%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |