Excelsior .31 vs Eemdijk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.9%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
27.9%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-39%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
4º
16º
15º
42
6º
15º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
70 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
67 | 67 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
65 | 65 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
57 | 60 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
54 | 54 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
52 | 52 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
45 | 48 |
8º
|
82% | |
|
9º
|
44 | 45 |
9º
|
76% | |
|
|
11º
|
42 | 42 |
10º
|
29% | |
|
10º
|
42 | 42 |
11º
|
44% | |
|
12º
|
40 | 41 |
12º
|
58% | |
|
13º
|
40 | 40 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
33 | 36 |
14º
|
39.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
33 | 36 |
15º
|
37.5% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 35 |
16º
|
18.5% | |
|
17º
|
30 | 30 |
17º
|
81% | |
|
18º
|
10 | 10 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
16% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
65% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
19% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior .31
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
TIE
3 - 1
EXC
44%
27%
30%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
EXC
2 - 1
AJA
62%
20%
17%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
EXC
2 - 2
VVS
55%
22%
23%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
ROH
3 - 2
EXC
36%
26%
38%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
EXC
2 - 2
BER
75%
15%
10%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Eemdijk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
EEM
0 - 1
GEN
42%
25%
34%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
SPO
0 - 0
EEM
45%
24%
31%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
EEM
2 - 4
VVO
61%
19%
20%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
EEM
0 - 3
ADO
37%
23%
40%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
EEM
3 - 1
SPO
42%
24%
35%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |