Excelsior .31 vs DVS'33 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.3%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
28.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+70%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior .31
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
SVZ
2 - 1
EXC
44%
23%
33%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
EXC
1 - 1
DRA
73%
16%
11%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
AZS
1 - 1
EXC
33%
24%
43%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
EXC
4 - 0
APE
72%
16%
12%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
FLE
1 - 4
EXC
57%
21%
22%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
DVS'33
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
DVS
5 - 2
ACV
49%
24%
27%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
WHC
1 - 4
DVS
20%
22%
58%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
DVS
2 - 0
STA
38%
24%
38%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | +2 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
DVS
0 - 1
FLE
41%
23%
36%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | -2 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
DRA
0 - 1
DVS
38%
25%
37%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +1 |