Excelsior .31 vs DOS 37 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
87.8%
Win probability
3.3
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.2%
6-0
3.7%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.8%
5-0
6.6%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.1%
4-0
10%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.7%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.5%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
8.5%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
4%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.5%
3.7%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior .31
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2015 |
EXC
1 - 3
BOS
23%
22%
55%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
EXC
2 - 1
SVZ
80%
13%
7%
|
47 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
GEN
2 - 0
EXC
27%
22%
51%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | -2 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
EXC
3 - 0
VVO
79%
13%
8%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
DRA
0 - 2
EXC
9%
17%
73%
|
48 | 27 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
DOS 37
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
DOS
1 - 1
ACV
27%
23%
50%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
FLE
3 - 0
DOS
80%
13%
8%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
DOS
2 - 2
AZS
21%
23%
56%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
GEN
3 - 2
DOS
83%
11%
6%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
DOS
2 - 2
SVZ
30%
23%
47%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |