Excelsior .31 vs Buitenpost analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84%
Win probability
2.93
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.3%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.6%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.7%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
10.9%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.9%
5%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
68
1º
8º
1º
33
7º
13º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior .31
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
HEI
1 - 3
EXC
15%
23%
62%
|
52 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
EXC
5 - 0
PEL
86%
10%
4%
|
52 | 30 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
MAS
0 - 3
EXC
27%
25%
48%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
SDV
0 - 2
EXC
21%
25%
54%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
EXC
3 - 1
QUI
76%
15%
10%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Buitenpost
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
BUI
1 - 1
SDV
49%
23%
28%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
VVS
4 - 3
BUI
79%
14%
7%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
BUI
1 - 2
ROH
20%
22%
58%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
BEQ
2 - 2
BUI
59%
23%
18%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
BER
2 - 2
BUI
62%
21%
16%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | 0 |