Excelsior .31 vs Buitenpost analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.8%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.5%
10.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior .31
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
URK
1 - 1
EXC
45%
25%
31%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
EXC
0 - 0
GEN
62%
18%
19%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
FLE
2 - 0
EXC
32%
24%
44%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | -2 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
EXC
3 - 0
SPA
52%
22%
26%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +2 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
APE
0 - 4
EXC
34%
23%
43%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Buitenpost
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
BUI
0 - 2
AZS
35%
24%
41%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
ACV
5 - 1
BUI
64%
19%
18%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
BER
0 - 1
BUI
63%
19%
19%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | +2 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
BUI
1 - 0
SDC
36%
24%
40%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
BUI
1 - 3
FLE
42%
22%
35%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -1 |