Excelsior .31 vs Berkum analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.8%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
23.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior .31
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
EXC
0 - 3
WHC
51%
24%
25%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
EXC
2 - 2
ORA
75%
16%
9%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
ONS
0 - 3
EXC
47%
24%
29%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
PKC
1 - 5
EXC
42%
24%
35%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +2 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
EXC
3 - 1
FLE
50%
23%
27%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Berkum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
BER
0 - 2
GOA
53%
23%
24%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
BER
0 - 3
HHC
32%
24%
44%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | -2 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
ORA
1 - 5
BER
29%
24%
46%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
BER
3 - 1
GEN
51%
23%
27%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
STA
1 - 5
BER
50%
23%
27%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |