Excelsior .31 vs Be Quick 1887 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.5%
Win probability
2.91
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.5%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.8%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
12%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
12%
6.5%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
68
1º
8º
1º
29
3º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
29 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior .31
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
TVC
0 - 2
EXC
17%
23%
60%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
EXC
2 - 0
VVO
77%
14%
9%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
LON
0 - 2
EXC
14%
22%
64%
|
53 | 36 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
EXC
5 - 1
BUI
84%
11%
5%
|
52 | 36 | 16 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
HEI
1 - 3
EXC
15%
23%
62%
|
52 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Be Quick 1887
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
BEQ
0 - 4
SDV
50%
23%
27%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
VVS
3 - 1
BEQ
73%
16%
11%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
BEQ
3 - 4
ROH
21%
23%
56%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
BER
0 - 2
BEQ
58%
22%
21%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | +2 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
BEQ
0 - 4
DET
38%
25%
37%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | -2 |