Excelsior .31 vs ASV Dronten analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
90.7%
Win probability
3.51
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.3%
7-0
2.4%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.9%
6-0
4.7%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
6%
5-0
8%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.7%
4-0
11.5%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
<0%
+4
16.1%
3-0
13.1%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.9%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.9%
6.7%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
3.2%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
6.7%
2.4%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior .31
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
GEN
4 - 0
EXC
52%
21%
28%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
EXC
2 - 1
EEM
72%
16%
12%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
ORA
1 - 3
EXC
31%
23%
47%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
EXC
1 - 0
AZS
62%
19%
19%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
SDC
0 - 0
EXC
50%
22%
28%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
ASV Dronten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
SPA
2 - 0
ASV
87%
10%
4%
|
19 | 37 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
ASV
0 - 4
DOV
9%
16%
74%
|
20 | 42 | 22 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
FLE
0 - 0
ASV
83%
11%
6%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
ASV
0 - 4
URK
13%
19%
69%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
ACV
5 - 1
ASV
83%
12%
5%
|
21 | 42 | 21 | 0 |