Excelsior .31 vs Apeldoorn CSV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.8%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
30.8%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior .31
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
EXC
4 - 2
NSC
68%
17%
15%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
AZS
0 - 0
EXC
51%
23%
26%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
EXC
1 - 1
SDC
49%
22%
29%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
FLE
2 - 1
EXC
33%
22%
45%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
EXC
4 - 2
ORA
74%
15%
12%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Apeldoorn CSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
APE
2 - 2
FLE
67%
18%
15%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
GEN
1 - 2
APE
57%
20%
24%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
APE
4 - 0
NSC
64%
19%
17%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
SDC
1 - 1
APE
46%
23%
31%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
EEM
4 - 1
APE
32%
24%
44%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | -2 |